The Golden State Warriors are slight 2.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 7 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on Sunday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on .
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Rockets vs. Warriors Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projection model for this game predicts a final tally of Rockets 114, Warriors 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-133)
- Total Pick: Over 206 (computer predicts 223.3 points)
- Pick ATS: Rockets (-2.5)
Recent Rockets vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/2/2025 | Warriors | -5.5 | 208.5 | -245 | +199 | 115-107 HOU |
| 4/30/2025 | Rockets | -4 | 203.5 | -183 | +153 | 131-116 HOU |
| 4/28/2025 | Warriors | -4 | 203.5 | -173 | +145 | 109-106 GS |
| 4/26/2025 | Warriors | -3.5 | 205 | -141 | +120 | 104-93 GS |
| 4/23/2025 | Rockets | -4 | 205 | -177 | +148 | 109-94 HOU |
| 4/20/2025 | Rockets | -1.5 | 213 | -121 | +101 | 95-85 GS |
| 4/6/2025 | Warriors | -5 | 225.5 | -198 | +164 | 106-96 HOU |
| 2/13/2025 | Warriors | -1.5 | 225.5 | -121 | +100 | 105-98 GS |
| 12/11/2024 | Rockets | -2.5 | 220.5 | -153 | +129 | 91-90 HOU |
| 12/5/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 219.5 | -183 | +152 | 99-93 GS |
| 11/2/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 216 | -192 | +161 | 127-121 GS |
| 4/4/2024 | Warriors | -3 | 227.5 | -150 | +125 | 133-110 GS |
| 11/20/2023 | Warriors | -7 | 220 | -290 | +231 | 121-116 GS |
| 10/29/2023 | Warriors | -7 | 223 | -269 | +218 | 106-95 GS |
Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Houston is 43-39-0 against the spread this season.
- The Rockets have a 27-24 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
- Houston's games have hit the over in 45 out of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
- The Rockets have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 41 (75.9%) of those contests.
- This season, Houston has won 40 of its 51 games, or 78.4%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Golden State has put together a 42-40-0 record against the spread.
- When they have played as at least 2.5-point underdogs this season, the Warriors are 12-7 against the spread.
- Golden State has hit the over in 41 of its 82 games with a set total (50%).
- The Warriors have been the moneyline underdog 27 total times this season. They've finished 11-16 in those games.
- Golden State has gone 8-12 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +112 or longer (40%).
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Rockets vs. Warriors Injury Report
Rockets
Rockets:
Jock Landale: Out (Knee),
Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Ankle)
Warriors
Warriors:
Gary Payton II: Questionable (Illness)
Rockets vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, May 4, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel:
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Arena: Toyota Center
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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