The Golden State Warriors are 5.5-point favorites in a decisive Game 6 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Houston Rockets at Chase Center on Friday, beginning at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN, NBCS-BA, and SCHN. The Warriors hold a 3-2 lead in the series.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Predictions for Friday
Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final result of Warriors 113, Rockets 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Warriors (-239)
- Total Pick: Over 208 (computer predicts 223.3 points)
- Pick ATS: Rockets (+5.5)
Recent Warriors vs. Rockets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/30/2025 | Rockets | -4 | 203.5 | -183 | +153 | 131-116 HOU |
| 4/28/2025 | Warriors | -4 | 203.5 | -173 | +145 | 109-106 GS |
| 4/26/2025 | Warriors | -3.5 | 205 | -141 | +120 | 104-93 GS |
| 4/23/2025 | Rockets | -4 | 205 | -177 | +148 | 109-94 HOU |
| 4/20/2025 | Rockets | -1.5 | 213 | -121 | +101 | 95-85 GS |
| 4/6/2025 | Warriors | -5 | 225.5 | -198 | +164 | 106-96 HOU |
| 2/13/2025 | Warriors | -1.5 | 225.5 | -121 | +100 | 105-98 GS |
| 12/11/2024 | Rockets | -2.5 | 220.5 | -153 | +129 | 91-90 HOU |
| 12/5/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 219.5 | -183 | +152 | 99-93 GS |
| 11/2/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 216 | -192 | +161 | 127-121 GS |
| 4/4/2024 | Warriors | -3 | 227.5 | -150 | +125 | 133-110 GS |
| 11/20/2023 | Warriors | -7 | 220 | -290 | +231 | 121-116 GS |
| 10/29/2023 | Warriors | -7 | 223 | -269 | +218 | 106-95 GS |
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Golden State's ATS record is 42-40-0 this season.
- The Warriors are 14-21 against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
- Golden State has gone over in 41 of its 82 games with a set total (50%).
- This season, the Warriors have been favored 55 times and won 37, or 67.3%, of those games.
- This season, Golden State has won 23 of its 31 games, or 74.2%, when favored by at least -239 on the moneyline.
Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Houston has gone 43-39-0 ATS this season.
- In games this season in which they were an underdog by 5.5 points or more, the Rockets have a 5-5 record against the spread.
- A total of 45 of Houston's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (54.9%).
- The Rockets have won 39.3% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (11-17).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +196 or longer, Houston has a record of 1-7 (12.5%).
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Warriors vs. Rockets Injury Report
Warriors
Warriors:
Jonathan Kuminga: Day-To-Day (Illness)
Rockets
Rockets:
Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Ankle),
Jock Landale: Out (Knee)
Warriors vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, May 2, 2025
- Game time: 9 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN, NBCS-BA, and SCHN
- Location: San Francisco, California
- Arena: Chase Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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