Photo: Andy Lyons / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Indiana Pacers are 7.5-point favorites for a decisive Game 5 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Milwaukee Bucks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday, tipping off at 6 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSWI, and FDSIN. The Pacers hold a 3-1 lead in the series.
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Pacers vs. Bucks Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final score of Pacers 117, Bucks 113.
- Moneyline Pick: Pacers (-344)
- Total Pick: Over 223 (computer predicts 230.0 points)
- Pick ATS: Bucks (+7.5)
Recent Pacers vs. Bucks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/27/2025 | Bucks | -3.5 | 226.5 | -173 | +145 | 129-103 IND |
| 4/25/2025 | Bucks | -5 | 230 | -209 | +173 | 117-101 MIL |
| 4/22/2025 | Pacers | -4 | 228 | -178 | +148 | 123-115 IND |
| 4/19/2025 | Pacers | -6 | 227.5 | -244 | +198 | 117-98 IND |
| 3/15/2025 | Bucks | -3.5 | 235.5 | -165 | +138 | 126-119 MIL |
| 3/11/2025 | Bucks | -1 | 238.5 | -114 | -106 | 115-114 IND |
| 12/31/2024 | Bucks | -2 | 229.5 | -130 | +109 | 120-112 MIL |
| 11/22/2024 | Bucks | -5.5 | 235.5 | -220 | +181 | 129-117 MIL |
| 5/2/2024 | Pacers | -6 | 217 | -236 | +191 | 120-98 IND |
| 4/30/2024 | Pacers | -5 | 218.5 | -200 | +165 | 115-92 MIL |
| 4/28/2024 | Pacers | -9.5 | 216 | -413 | +321 | 126-113 IND |
| 4/26/2024 | Pacers | -6.5 | 223.5 | -271 | +219 | 121-118 IND |
| 4/23/2024 | Bucks | -1.5 | 223.5 | -115 | -105 | 125-108 IND |
| 4/21/2024 | Pacers | -1.5 | 230 | -119 | -101 | 109-94 MIL |
| 1/3/2024 | Bucks | -3.5 | 257.5 | -161 | +137 | 142-130 IND |
| 1/1/2024 | Bucks | -8.5 | 261.5 | -348 | +277 | 122-113 IND |
| 12/13/2023 | Bucks | -6.5 | 258 | -252 | +204 | 140-126 MIL |
| 12/7/2023 | Bucks | -5 | 257 | -204 | +169 | 128-119 IND |
| 11/9/2023 | Bucks | -1.5 | 241.5 | -126 | +104 | 126-124 IND |
Pacers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Indiana's ATS record is 38-43-1 this season.
- The Pacers have a 7-12-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
- Indiana has gone over in 44 of its 82 games with a set total (53.7%).
- This season, the Pacers have been favored 49 times and won 34, or 69.4%, of those games.
- Indiana has a record of 17-2, a 89.5% win rate, when it's favored by -344 or more by bookmakers this season.
Bucks 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Milwaukee is 43-39-0 against the spread this season.
- The Bucks are 5-3 against the spread when an underdog by 7.5 points or more this season.
- In Milwaukee's 82 games with a set total, 43 have hit the over (52.4%).
- The Bucks have put together an 11-15 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 42.3% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +271 or longer, Milwaukee has gone 2-5 (28.6%).
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Pacers vs. Bucks Injury Report
Pacers
Pacers:
Bennedict Mathurin: Day-To-Day (Abdomen),
Isaiah Jackson: Out For Season (Calf)
Bucks
Bucks:
Tyler Smith: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Damian Lillard: Day-To-Day (Leg)
Pacers vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, April 29, 2025
- Game time: 6 p.m. ET
- TV channel: NBA TV, FDSWI, and FDSIN
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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