Warriors vs. Rockets Game 4 Predictions, Odds & Stats – April 28

Miami Heat v Golden State Warriors

Photo: Ezra Shaw / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Houston Rockets are 4-point underdogs for Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center on Monday, starting at 10 p.m. ET on . The Warriors are up 2-1 in the series.

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Warriors vs. Rockets Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final tally of Warriors 113, Rockets 110.

  • Moneyline Pick: Warriors (-183)
  • Total Pick: Over 203 (computer predicts 223.2 points)
  • Pick ATS: Rockets (+4)

Recent Warriors vs. Rockets Matchups

Warriors vs Rockets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/26/2025 Warriors -3.5 205 -141 +120 104-93 GS
4/23/2025 Rockets -4 205 -177 +148 109-94 HOU
4/20/2025 Rockets -1.5 213 -121 +101 95-85 GS
4/6/2025 Warriors -5 225.5 -198 +164 106-96 HOU
2/13/2025 Warriors -1.5 225.5 -121 +100 105-98 GS
12/11/2024 Rockets -2.5 220.5 -153 +129 91-90 HOU
12/5/2024 Rockets -4.5 219.5 -183 +152 99-93 GS
11/2/2024 Rockets -4.5 216 -192 +161 127-121 GS
4/4/2024 Warriors -3 227.5 -150 +125 133-110 GS
11/20/2023 Warriors -7 220 -290 +231 121-116 GS
10/29/2023 Warriors -7 223 -269 +218 106-95 GS

Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Golden State is 42-40-0 ATS this season.
  • The Warriors are 17-23 against the spread when favored by 4 points or more this season.
  • A total of 41 of Golden State's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (50%).
  • This season, the Warriors have won 37 out of the 55 games, or 67.3%, in which they've been favored.
  • Golden State has a record of 26-13, a 66.7% win rate, when it's favored by -183 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Houston has a 43-39-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games this year in which they were an underdog by 4 points or more, the Rockets have an 8-7 record against the spread.
  • Houston's games have hit the over 45 out of 82 times (54.9%).
  • The Rockets have gone 11-17 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 39.3% of those games).
  • Houston has a record of 5-7 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +153 or longer (41.7%).

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Warriors vs. Rockets Injury Report

Warriors

Warriors:

Jimmy Butler: Questionable (Pelvis)

Rockets

Rockets:

Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Ankle),

Jock Landale: Probable (Knee)

Warriors vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, April 28, 2025
  • Game time: 10 p.m. ET
  • TV channel:
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center
  • Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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