On Saturday the Tampa Bay Lightning go on the road to square off against the Florida Panthers in Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round, starting at 1 p.m. ET on TBS. The Panthers hold a 2-0 edge in the series. The Lightning are underdogs (+115) in this matchup against the Panthers (-137).
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Before watching this matchup, here is a look at which team we pick to bring home the victory in Saturday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.
Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projections model for this encounter predicts a final tally of Panthers 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-137)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers are 47-31-4 overall and 10-4-14 in overtime contests.
- Florida has 26 points (11-6-4) in the 21 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- Looking at the 16 times this season the Panthers ended a game with just one goal, they have a 3-13-0 record, good for six points.
- Florida has finished 6-7-2 in the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 14 points).
- The Panthers are 40-6-2 in the 48 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 82 points).
- In the 37 games when Florida has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 24-9-4 record (52 points).
- In the 55 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 32-20-3 (67 points).
- The Panthers have been outshot by opponents 21 times, and went 11-9-1 (23 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have posted a record of 6-8-14 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 47-27-8.
- In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 21 points.
- This season the Lightning scored just one goal in nine games and they finished 0-8-1 in those matchups.
- Tampa Bay has seven points (2-10-3) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 56 games, earning 94 points from those contests.
- This season, Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in 32 games and registered 45 points with a record of 22-9-1.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 25-18-0 (50 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 37 games. The Lightning went 21-8-8 in those contests (50 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Panthers Rank | Panthers AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15th | 3 | Goals Scored | 3.56 | 1st |
| 7th | 2.72 | Goals Allowed | 2.63 | 4th |
| 3rd | 31.5 | Shots | 28.5 | 12th |
| 5th | 26.2 | Shots Allowed | 28.1 | 14th |
| 11th | 23.83% | Power Play % | 25.86% | 5th |
| 10th | 80.42% | Penalty Kill % | 81.55% | 6th |
Panthers vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: TBS
- Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida
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