Avalanche vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 4

Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Ball Arena showcases the Colorado Avalanche and the Dallas Stars squaring off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 26, airing on TBS. The Stars are up 2-1 in the series. The Avalanche are favored (-189) against the Stars (+158).

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we expect to emerge victorious in Saturday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Avalanche vs. Stars Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Avalanche 4, Stars 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-189)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche (49-29-4 overall) have a 9-6-15 record in games that have needed overtime.
  • Colorado is 13-7-3 (29 points) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
  • The 15 times this season the Avalanche ended a game with only one goal, they went 1-11-3 (five points).
  • Colorado has taken 12 points from the 14 games this season when it scored two goals (5-7-2 record).
  • The Avalanche have scored at least three goals in 53 games (44-8-1, 89 points).
  • In the 33 games when Colorado has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 23-8-2 to register 48 points.
  • In the 55 games when it outshot its opponent, Colorado is 34-18-3 (71 points).
  • The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents 23 times, and went 13-9-1 (27 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars have a 11-6-17 record in overtime games this season and a 50-26-6 overall record.
  • Dallas has earned 38 points (17-7-4) in its 28 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Stars recorded just one goal in 10 games and they've earned two points (1-9-0) in those contests.
  • When Dallas has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned 17 points (7-8-3 record).
  • The Stars have scored at least three goals 56 times, earning 91 points from those matchups (44-9-3).
  • Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal in 30 games this season and has registered 45 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Dallas has posted a record of 22-13-1 (45 points).
  • The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 45 games, going 28-12-5 to register 61 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Stars AVG Stars Rank
6th 3.33 Goals Scored 3.35 3rd
11th 2.82 Goals Allowed 2.71 6th
5th 29.8 Shots 28.4 13th
3rd 25.9 Shots Allowed 29 23rd
7th 25.22% Power Play % 22% 17th
12th 79.51% Penalty Kill % 82.02% 4th

Avalanche vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

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