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The Golden State Warriors are slight 1.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on Sunday, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT.
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Rockets vs. Warriors Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final result of Rockets 114, Warriors 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-120)
- Total Pick: Over 213.5 (computer predicts 224.3 points)
- Pick ATS: Rockets (-1.5)
Recent Rockets vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/6/2025 | Warriors | -5 | 225.5 | -198 | +164 | 106-96 HOU |
| 2/13/2025 | Warriors | -1.5 | 225.5 | -121 | +100 | 105-98 GS |
| 12/11/2024 | Rockets | -2.5 | 220.5 | -153 | +129 | 91-90 HOU |
| 12/5/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 219.5 | -183 | +152 | 99-93 GS |
| 11/2/2024 | Rockets | -4.5 | 216 | -192 | +161 | 127-121 GS |
| 4/4/2024 | Warriors | -3 | 227.5 | -150 | +125 | 133-110 GS |
| 11/20/2023 | Warriors | -7 | 220 | -290 | +231 | 121-116 GS |
| 10/29/2023 | Warriors | -7 | 223 | -269 | +218 | 106-95 GS |
Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Houston has a 43-39-0 record against the spread this season.
- In games they have played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Rockets are 28-25 against the spread.
- In Houston's 82 games with a set total, 45 have hit the over (54.9%).
- This season, the Rockets have been favored 54 times and won 41, or 75.9%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 41-12, a 77.4% win rate, when it's favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Golden State has a 42-40-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Warriors have a 15-10 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 1.5 points or more.
- Golden State's games have gone over the point total 41 out of 82 times (50%).
- The Warriors have won 11 of the 27 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (40.7%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +101 or longer, Golden State has a record of 9-12 (42.9%).
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Rockets vs. Warriors Injury Report
Rockets
Rockets:
Jae'Sean Tate: Out (Ankle)
Warriors
Warriors: None
Rockets vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, April 20, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Arena: Toyota Center
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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