Lightning vs. Rangers Prediction & Picks - April 17

Tampa Bay Lightning v Montreal Canadiens

Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (47-26-8) visit the New York Rangers (38-36-7) at Madison Square Garden on Thursday, April 17 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, with both teams fresh off of a victory. The Lightning are coming off a 5-1 win over the Florida Panthers, while the Rangers defeated the Florida Panthers 5-3 in their most recent outing.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we predict will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

In the past 10 contests, the Rangers have put up a 4-5-1 record after scoring 39 total goals (four power-play goals on 29 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 13.8%). Their opponents have scored a combined 35 goals in those games.

Lightning vs. Rangers Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Rangers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-111)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Rangers (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 6-8-14 in overtime contests as part of a 47-26-8 overall record.
  • In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-5 record (good for 21 points).
  • In the nine games this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
  • Tampa Bay has scored two goals in 14 games this season (2-9-3 record, seven points).
  • The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 56 games (45-7-4, 94 points).
  • In the 31 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 22-8-1 to record 45 points.
  • In the 41 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 25-16-0 (50 points).
  • The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 36 games. The Lightning finished 21-7-8 in those matchups (50 points).

Rangers Splits and Trends

  • The Rangers have a 4-7-11 record in overtime matchups this season and a 38-36-7 overall record.
  • New York has earned 33 points (13-10-7) in its 30 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Rangers registered only one goal in 12 games and they lost every time.
  • When New York has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 12 points (5-8-2 record).
  • The Rangers have earned 69 points in their 49 games with more than two goals scored.
  • This season, New York has scored a lone power-play goal in 25 games and registered 26 points with a record of 11-10-4.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, New York has posted a record of 17-15-2 (36 points).
  • The Rangers have been outshot by opponents in 42 games, going 18-19-5 to record 41 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Rangers AVG Rangers Rank
1st 3.6 Goals Scored 3.1 12th
4th 2.62 Goals Allowed 3.15 20th
12th 28.5 Shots 28.6 11th
14th 28.2 Shots Allowed 29.8 27th
5th 26.2% Power Play % 17.7% 27th
7th 81.46% Penalty Kill % 80.08% 11th

Lightning vs. Rangers Game Time and TV Channel

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