Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - April 12

The Toronto Maple Leafs (48-26-4) host the Montreal Canadiens (39-31-9) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, April 12 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs have won five straight at home.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey action.

Over the last 10 games, the Canadiens have gone 6-4-0 while scoring 28 goals against 28 goals conceded. On 20 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored two goals (10.0%).

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Canadiens 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-224)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have gone 9-4-13 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 48-26-4.
• Toronto is 19-4-2 (40 points) in its 25 games decided by one goal.
• In the 11 games this season the Maple Leafs scored only one goal, they finished 0-10-1.
• Toronto has finished 3-10-1 in the 14 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering seven points).
• The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 50 games (45-3-2, 92 points).
• In the 30 games when Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 21-8-1 to register 43 points.
• In games when it has outshot opponents, Toronto is 17-12-1 (35 points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 44 times, and went 30-12-2 (62 points).

Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens have a 39-31-9 record this season and are 10-9-19 in contests that have gone to overtime.
• Montreal has earned 38 points (16-4-6) in its 26 games decided by one goal.
• Across the nine games this season the Canadiens ended with only one goal, they have earned five points.
• Montreal has nine points (3-10-3) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
• The Canadiens have scored three or more goals 50 times, earning 73 points from those matchups (34-11-5).
• This season, Montreal has scored a single power-play goal in 31 games and picked up 37 points with a record of 16-10-5.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Montreal is 17-10-1 (35 points).
• The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents 48 times this season, and earned 50 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, April 12, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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