The Eastern Conference's fourth-ranked squad, the Tampa Bay Lightning (45-26-6), host the second-ranked group from the conference, the Toronto Maple Leafs (47-26-4), on Wednesday, April 9 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Before watching this matchup, here is a glimpse at which team we predict will come out on top in Wednesday's action on the ice.
The Maple Leafs have gone 7-2-1 over the last 10 games, putting up 35 total goals (six power-play goals on 20 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 30.0%). They have given up 22 goals to their opponents.
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer model for this matchup expects a final tally of Lightning 4, Maple Leafs 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-187)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 45-26-6 overall and 6-6-12 in overtime matchups.
- In the 20 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-3 record (good for 19 points).
- In the nine games this season the Lightning recorded only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
- Tampa Bay has scored exactly two goals in 14 games this season (2-9-3 record, seven points).
- The Lightning have scored three or more goals 52 times, and are 43-7-2 in those games (to register 88 points).
- In the 29 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 20-8-1 record (41 points).
- In the 39 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 23-16-0 (46 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 34 games, going 21-7-6 to record 48 points.
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have a 47-26-4 record this season and are 8-4-12 in matchups that have needed overtime.
- Toronto has earned 38 points (18-4-2) in its 24 games decided by one goal.
- This season the Maple Leafs scored only one goal in 11 games and they finished 0-10-1 in those matchups.
- Toronto has seven points (3-10-1) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Maple Leafs have earned 90 points in their 49 games with more than two goals scored.
- This season, Toronto has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 29 games and picked up 41 points with a record of 20-8-1.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 16-12-1 (33 points).
- The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 44 games. The Maple Leafs went 30-12-2 in those contests (62 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.56 | Goals Scored | 3.25 | 8th |
| 3rd | 2.58 | Goals Allowed | 2.88 | 14th |
| 11th | 28.6 | Shots | 28 | 17th |
| 14th | 28.3 | Shots Allowed | 29.4 | 25th |
| 6th | 25.69% | Power Play % | 25.73% | 5th |
| 6th | 81.63% | Penalty Kill % | 78.28% | 16th |
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, April 9, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
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