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The Miami Heat (35-42) face the Milwaukee Bucks (42-34) as only 1.5-point favorites on Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSWI.
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Heat vs. Bucks Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Heat 112, Bucks 111.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-118)
- Total Pick: Over 213.5 (computer predicts 223.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Bucks (+1.5)
Recent Heat vs. Bucks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/23/2025 | Bucks | -4.5 | 221 | -178 | +148 | 120-113 MIL |
| 1/23/2025 | Bucks | -6 | 225.5 | -246 | +200 | 125-96 MIL |
| 11/26/2024 | Heat | -5.5 | 222.5 | -229 | +189 | 106-103 MIL |
| 2/13/2024 | Bucks | -8 | 224.5 | -332 | +261 | 123-97 MIA |
| 11/28/2023 | Bucks | -4.5 | 230.5 | -189 | +159 | 131-124 MIL |
| 10/30/2023 | Bucks | -7.5 | 225.5 | -300 | +240 | 122-114 MIL |
Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Miami has gone 37-37-3 ATS this season.
- The Heat have a 19-18-2 record against the spread in games they were favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
- A total of 39 of Miami's 76 games with a set total have hit the over (51.3%).
- This season, the Heat have won 25 out of the 41 games, or 61%, in which they've been favored.
- This season, Miami has won 24 of its 39 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
Bucks 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Milwaukee has compiled a 38-38-0 record against the spread.
- The Bucks are 11-11 against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
- Of Milwaukee's 76 games with a set total, 39 have hit the over (51.3%).
- The Bucks have won seven of the 22 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (31.8%).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -101 or longer, Milwaukee has a record of 7-15 (31.8%).
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Heat vs. Bucks Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Tyler Herro: Questionable (Thigh),
Nikola Jovic: Out (Hand),
Kevin Love: Out (Personal),
Haywood Highsmith: Questionable (Achilles),
Andrew Wiggins: Out (Hamstring),
Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles)
Bucks
Bucks:
AJ Green: Probable (Shoulder),
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Probable (Foot),
Damian Lillard: Out (Calf),
Jericho Sims: Out (Thumb)
Heat vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, April 5, 2025
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSWI
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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