Thunder vs. Bucks Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 16

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The Milwaukee Bucks (38-28) will look to Giannis Antetokounmpo (second in the league scoring 30.6 points per game) when they try to knock off Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (first in the NBA with 33.0 PPG) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (55-12) on Sunday, March 16, 2025 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are 5.5-point home underdogs in the matchup, which tips off at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK.

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Thunder vs. Bucks Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final result of Thunder 117, Bucks 109.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-207)
  • Total Pick: Under 232.5 (computer predicts 226.4 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-5.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Bucks Matchups

Thunder vs Bucks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/3/2025 Thunder -17 224.5 -2000 +1026 125-96 OKC
4/12/2024 Thunder -14.5 224 -909 +603 125-107 OKC
3/24/2024 Bucks -2.5 233.5 -139 +118 118-93 MIL

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City has a 42-24-1 record against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 28-20-1 against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in 38 of Oklahoma City's 66 games with a set total.
  • The Thunder have won 53, or 82.8%, of the 64 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has won 41 of its 50 games, or 82%, when favored by at least -207 on the moneyline.

Bucks 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee has a 32-34-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bucks have a 4-6 record against the spread when an underdog by 5.5 points or more this year.
  • In Milwaukee's 66 games with a set total, 34 have hit the over (51.5%).
  • The Bucks have won six of the 18 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%).
  • When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +172 or longer, Milwaukee has a record of 2-8 (20%).

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Thunder vs. Bucks Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Aaron Wiggins: Out (Illness),

Chet Holmgren: Day-To-Day (Rest),

Jalen Williams: Day-To-Day (Hip),

Ousmane Dieng: Day-To-Day (Calf),

Luguentz Dort: Day-To-Day (Groin),

Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl),

Ajay Mitchell: Out (Toe)

Bucks

Bucks: None

Thunder vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Sunday, March 16, 2025
  • Game time: 9 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN, FDSWI, and FDSOK
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Arena: Fiserv Forum
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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