Lightning vs. Bruins Prediction & Picks - March 15

Tampa Bay Lightning v Montreal Canadiens

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (37-23-5) will aim to break a three-game losing streak when they square off against the Boston Bruins (30-29-8) on the road on Saturday, March 15 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Here's our prediction for who will capture the victory in Saturday's game.

During the last 10 contests for the Bruins, their offense has totaled 25 goals while their defense has allowed 28 (they have a 3-5-2 record in those games). In 27 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored five goals (18.5% conversion rate).

Lightning vs. Bruins Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final tally of Lightning 4, Bruins 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-184)
  • Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Bruins (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 5-5-10 in overtime matchups on their way to a 37-23-5 overall record.
  • In the 19 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-8-3 record (good for 19 points).
  • In the eight games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-7-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-8-2 in the 10 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
  • The Lightning are 37-6-2 in the 45 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 76 points).
  • In the 24 games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it has a 17-6-1 record (35 points).
  • In the 32 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 19-13-0 (38 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 29 games, going 17-7-5 to register 39 points.

Bruins Splits and Trends

  • The Bruins have earned a record of 7-8-15 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 30-29-8.
  • In the 27 games Boston has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 31 points.
  • Across the 11 games this season the Bruins finished with only one goal, they have earned three points.
  • When Boston has scored two goals this season, they've earned 12 points (4-8-4 record).
  • The Bruins have earned 53 points in their 34 games with three or more goals scored.
  • This season, Boston has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 22 games has a record of 13-7-2 in those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Boston is 17-11-2 (36 points).
  • The Bruins have been outshot by opponents in 31 games, going 10-16-5 to record 25 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Bruins AVG Bruins Rank
2nd 3.49 Goals Scored 2.72 25th
8th 2.69 Goals Allowed 3.15 22nd
13th 28.6 Shots 27.4 24th
18th 28.7 Shots Allowed 28.5 16th
5th 26.09% Power Play % 15.08% 29th
8th 81.82% Penalty Kill % 76.1% 23rd

Lightning vs. Bruins Game Time and TV Channel

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