Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 3

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The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-11) will look to continue a three-game winning streak when they host the Houston Rockets (37-23) on Monday, March 3, 2025 at Paycom Center as 9.5-point favorites. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on NBA TV, FDSOK, and SCHN.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Predictions for Monday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final tally of Thunder 118, Rockets 106.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-413)
  • Total Pick: Under 228.5 (computer predicts 223.3 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-9.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Rockets Matchups

Thunder vs Rockets (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
12/14/2024 Thunder -5.5 215.5 -245 +199 111-96 OKC
12/1/2024 Thunder -1.5 220.5 -117 -102 119-116 HOU
11/8/2024 Thunder -7.5 222 -346 +271 126-107 OKC
3/27/2024 Thunder -4.5 226.5 -190 +159 132-126 HOU
2/27/2024 Thunder -10 234.5 -491 +369 112-95 OKC
2/25/2024 Thunder -6.5 233 -250 +203 123-110 OKC
12/6/2023 Thunder -1.5 224.5 -127 +107 110-101 HOU

Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • So far this season, Oklahoma City has compiled a 37-22-1 record against the spread.
  • When they have played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 18-12-1 against the spread.
  • A total of 35 of Oklahoma City's 60 games with a set total have hit the over (58.3%).
  • The Thunder have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 48 (82.8%) of those contests.
  • Oklahoma City has a record of 26-5, a 83.9% win rate, when it's favored by -413 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Rockets 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • So far this year, Houston has compiled a 32-28-0 record against the spread.
  • Houston's games have gone over the point total 31 out of 60 times (51.7%).
  • The Rockets have won nine of the 20 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (45%).
  • Houston has not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +320 or longer.

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Thunder vs. Rockets Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Ajay Mitchell: Out (Toe),

Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl),

Chet Holmgren: Day-To-Day (Ankle),

Isaiah Joe: Day-To-Day (Back)

Rockets

Rockets:

Dillon Brooks: Questionable (Knee),

Tari Eason: Questionable (Rest),

Amen Thompson: Questionable (Shoulder),

Alperen Sengun: Questionable (Back),

Fred VanVleet: Out (Ankle),

Steven Adams: Questionable (Ankle)

Thunder vs. Rockets Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, March 3, 2025
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBA TV, FDSOK, and SCHN
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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