Lightning vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - January 21

Toronto Maple Leafs v Montreal Canadiens

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (25-17-3) and Montreal Canadiens (23-19-4) meet at Bell Centre on Tuesday, January 21 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning lost to the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-3 in their most recent game, while the Canadiens are coming off a 5-4 overtime victory against the New York Rangers.

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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will emerge with the victory in Tuesday's hockey action.

Over the past 10 games, the Canadiens are 7-2-1. They have scored 31 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 28. They have gone on the power play 30 times during that span, and have capitalized with five goals (16.7% of opportunities).

Lightning vs. Canadiens Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Canadiens 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-145)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Canadiens (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 4-3-7 in overtime contests as part of a 25-17-3 overall record.
  • In the 13 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 5-6-2 record (good for 12 points).
  • In the five games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-7-1 in the eight games this season when it scored two goals (registering one point).
  • The Lightning are 25-6-1 in the 32 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 51 points).
  • In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 9-6-0 to record 18 points.
  • In the 23 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 13-10-0 (26 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 19 games, going 11-5-3 to register 25 points.

Canadiens Splits and Trends

  • The Canadiens (23-19-4 overall) have posted a record of 7-4-11 in games that have gone to OT this season.
  • In the 13 games Montreal has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 20 points.
  • Across the six games this season the Canadiens ended with only one goal, they have earned five points.
  • Montreal has earned six points (2-7-2 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Canadiens have earned 39 points in their 28 games with more than two goals scored.
  • This season, Montreal has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 22 games and picked up 25 points with a record of 11-8-3.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Montreal has posted a record of 12-5-0 (24 points).
  • The Canadiens' opponents have had more shots in 27 games. The Canadiens finished 10-13-4 in those matchups (24 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Canadiens AVG Canadiens Rank
1st 3.64 Goals Scored 3.04 12th
11th 2.82 Goals Allowed 3.33 26th
14th 28.6 Shots 26 29th
20th 28.8 Shots Allowed 28.8 20th
4th 27.48% Power Play % 20.42% 18th
9th 81.67% Penalty Kill % 81.25% 11th

Lightning vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

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