Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - January 20

The Toronto Maple Leafs (29-16-2) square off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (25-16-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, January 20 at 7:30 PM ET on NHL Network, with each team back in action after a vistory. The Maple Leafs defeated the Montreal Canadiens 7-3 in their most recent outing, while the Lightning are coming off a 5-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings.

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's our pick for which club will bring home the win in Monday's hockey action.

In the last 10 games, the Lightning have put up a record of 5-4-1. They have scored 27 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 23. They have gone on the power play 25 times during that span, and have capitalized with seven goals (28.0% of opportunities).

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this encounter predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-135)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs (29-16-2 overall) have a 5-2-7 record in matchups that have required overtime.
• In the 13 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 10-1-2 record (good for 22 points).
• In the six games this season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they finished 0-5-1.
• Toronto has taken four points from the eight games this season when it scored two goals (2-6-0 record).
• The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals 30 times, and are 27-2-1 in those games (to record 55 points).
• In the 18 games when Toronto has scored a single power-play goal, it registered 25 points after finishing 12-5-1.
• In the 18 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 11-7-0 (22 points).
• The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 28 games. The Maple Leafs finished 18-8-2 in those matchups (38 points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a 4-3-7 record in overtime games this season and a 25-16-3 overall record.
• Tampa Bay has earned 12 points (5-6-2) in its 13 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Lightning registered only one goal in five games and they finished 0-4-1 in those matchups.
• Tampa Bay has one point (0-7-1) in eight games this season when it has scored exactly two goals.
• The Lightning have earned 51 points in their 31 games with three or more goals scored.
• This season, Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in 14 games and picked up 18 points with a record of 9-5-0.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 13-9-0 (26 points).
• The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 19 games. The Lightning went 11-5-3 in those matchups (25 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Monday, January 20, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: NHL Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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