Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction & Picks - January 18

Washington Capitals v Detroit Red Wings

Photo: Getty Images

The Tampa Bay Lightning (24-16-3) take a three-game home win streak into a matchup with the Detroit Red Wings (21-19-4), who have won three in a row on the road, on Saturday, January 18 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory in Saturday's game.

The Red Wings are 8-2-0 over the last 10 contests, putting up 41 total goals (17 power-play goals on 34 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 50.0%). They have allowed 29 goals to their opponents.

Lightning vs. Red Wings Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this game expects a final score of Lightning 4, Red Wings 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-205)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning (24-16-3 overall) have a 4-3-7 record in contests that have required overtime.
  • Tampa Bay has 12 points (5-6-2) in the 13 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Lightning registered just one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Tampa Bay finished 0-7-1 in the eight games this season when it scored two goals (registering one point).
  • The Lightning are 24-5-1 in the 30 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 49 points).
  • In the 14 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it picked up 18 points after finishing 9-5-0.
  • In the 22 games when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 13-9-0 (26 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 18 games, going 10-5-3 to register 23 points.

Red Wings Splits and Trends

  • The Red Wings have a 21-19-4 record this season and are 4-4-8 in matchups that have gone to overtime.
  • In the 16 games Detroit has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 18 points.
  • This season the Red Wings recorded only one goal in nine games and they've earned two points (1-8-0) in those contests.
  • When Detroit has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned eight points (3-3-2 record).
  • The Red Wings have scored more than two goals in 25 games, earning 36 points from those contests.
  • Detroit has scored a lone power-play goal in 13 games this season and has registered 12 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Detroit is 8-7-0 (16 points).
  • The Red Wings have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 10-12-4 to record 24 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Red Wings AVG Red Wings Rank
1st 3.63 Goals Scored 2.91 20th
11th 2.81 Goals Allowed 3.2 25th
13th 28.7 Shots 25.4 30th
17th 28.6 Shots Allowed 29.4 25th
5th 26.19% Power Play % 30.3% 2nd
9th 82.3% Penalty Kill % 69.3% 31st

Lightning vs. Red Wings Game Time and TV Channel

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