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The Toronto Maple Leafs (25-13-2, riding a three-game winning streak) host the Philadelphia Flyers (17-18-4) at Scotiabank Arena. The game on Sunday, January 5 begins at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.
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Here's our prediction for who will claim the win in Sunday's game.
The Flyers have a 4-6-0 record in their past 10 contests. They have scored 33 total goals (two power-play goals on 21 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 9.5%) while conceding 35 goals to their opponents.
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Flyers 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-149)
- Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)
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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs (25-13-2 overall) have a 3-2-5 record in games that have required overtime.
- In the 10 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 7-1-2 record (good for 16 points).
- In the five games this season the Maple Leafs registered just one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
- Toronto has finished 2-6-0 in the eight games this season when it scored two goals (registering four points).
- The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 25 games (23-1-1, 47 points).
- In the 15 games when Toronto has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it has a 10-4-1 record (21 points).
- In the 15 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 10-5-0 (20 points).
- The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 24 games. The Maple Leafs finished 15-7-2 in those matchups (32 points).
Flyers Splits and Trends
- The Flyers have a 8-4-12 record in overtime matchups this season and a 17-18-4 overall record.
- In the 11 games Philadelphia has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
- This season the Flyers recorded only one goal in four games and they've earned two points (1-3-0) in those contests.
- Philadelphia has six points (3-3-0) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Flyers have scored more than two goals 27 times, earning 30 points from those matchups (13-10-4).
- This season, Philadelphia has recorded a single power-play goal in 13 games and registered 15 points with a record of 7-5-1.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Philadelphia is 11-6-2 (24 points).
- The Flyers have been outshot by opponents in 19 games, going 5-12-2 to register 12 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Maple Leafs Rank | Maple Leafs AVG | Flyers AVG | Flyers Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12th | 3.15 | Goals Scored | 3.03 | 14th |
| 8th | 2.78 | Goals Allowed | 3.56 | 30th |
| 14th | 28.7 | Shots | 27.3 | 22nd |
| 24th | 29.3 | Shots Allowed | 27.2 | 8th |
| 18th | 20.69% | Power Play % | 15.89% | 28th |
| 10th | 82.26% | Penalty Kill % | 78.3% | 19th |
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Sunday, January 5, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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