Stars vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - December 18

A game after John Tavares recorded a hat trick in the Toronto Maple Leafs' 5-3 win against the Buffalo Sabres, the Maple Leafs (19-10-2) visit the Dallas Stars (19-11) on Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Here is our pick for who will capture the victory in Wednesday's game.

Over the past 10 contests, the Maple Leafs are 6-4-0 while scoring 28 total goals (five power-play goals on 25 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 20.0%). They have conceded 24 goals.

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Stars 3, Maple Leafs 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (-134)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.7 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have finished 2-0-2 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall record of 19-11.
• Dallas is 4-3-0 (eight points) in its seven games decided by one goal.
• In the two games this season the Stars registered just one goal, they lost both times.
• Dallas has scored exactly two goals in 12 games this season (5-7-0 record, 10 points).
• The Stars have scored at least three goals in 16 games (14-2-0, 28 points).
• In the 10 games when Dallas has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 7-3-0 to record 14 points.
• In games when it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 10-8-0 (20 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents 11 times, and went 9-2-0 (18 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have a 3-2-5 record in overtime contests this season and a 19-10-2 overall record.
• In the nine games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
• This season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal in five games and they finished 0-4-1 in those matchups.
• Toronto has two points (1-4-0) in five games this season when it has scored a pair of goals.
• The Maple Leafs have earned 37 points in their 19 games with at least three goals scored.
• This season, Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal in 10 games and registered 13 points with a record of 6-3-1.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 9-4-0 (18 points).
• The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 17 games. The Maple Leafs finished 10-5-2 in those contests (22 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Wednesday, December 18, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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