Lightning vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - December 12

Tampa Bay Lightning v Vancouver Canucks

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (14-10-2) take on the Calgary Flames (14-10-5) at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday, December 12 at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Lightning fell to the Edmonton Oilers 2-1 in their last outing, while the Flames are coming off a 4-3 win over the Nashville Predators.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our pick for who will come out on top in Thursday's hockey action.

During the past 10 contests for the Flames, their offense has totaled 26 goals while their defense has allowed 34 (they have a 4-4-2 record in those games). In 31 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored 10 goals (32.3% success rate).

Lightning vs. Flames Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this game calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Flames 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-155)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 14-10-2 overall and 3-2-5 in overtime games.
  • Tampa Bay is 4-4-1 (nine points) in its nine games decided by one goal.
  • In the two games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they finished 0-1-1.
  • Tampa Bay has lost all four games this season when it scored two goals.
  • The Lightning are 14-5-1 in the 20 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 29 points).
  • In the eight games when Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 4-4-0 to register eight points.
  • In the 14 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 8-6-0 (16 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 10 games, going 5-3-2 to register 12 points.

Flames Splits and Trends

  • The Flames (14-10-5 overall) have posted a record of 5-5-10 in contests that have gone to OT this season.
  • Calgary has earned 12 points (4-1-4) in its nine games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • Across the five games this season the Flames ended with only one goal, they have earned four points.
  • When Calgary has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned three points (1-5-1 record).
  • The Flames have scored more than two goals 16 times, earning 26 points from those matchups (12-2-2).
  • Calgary has scored a lone power-play goal in 12 games this season and has recorded 14 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 10-2-2 (22 points).
  • The Flames have been outshot by opponents 14 times this season, and earned 11 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Flames AVG Flames Rank
2nd 3.81 Goals Scored 2.59 26th
11th 2.96 Goals Allowed 2.97 14th
17th 28.7 Shots 29.8 9th
11th 28 Shots Allowed 29.4 24th
8th 25.32% Power Play % 21.43% 15th
15th 80.26% Penalty Kill % 74.16% 26th

Lightning vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

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