Avalanche vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - November 25

Tampa Bay Lightning v Pittsburgh Penguins

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The Colorado Avalanche (12-9, riding a three-game winning streak) go on the road against the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-7-2) at Amalie Arena. The game on Monday, November 25 starts at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Here's our prediction for who will clinch the victory in Monday's matchup.

In the last 10 contests for the Lightning (4-4-2), their offense has totaled 34 goals while their defense has conceded 28 goals. They have registered 28 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored seven goals (25.0%).

Avalanche vs. Lightning Predictions for Monday

Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final score of Lightning 4, Avalanche 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-109)
  • Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 6.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche are 2-0-2 in overtime contests on their way to a 12-9 overall record.
  • Colorado is 6-1-0 (12 points) in its seven games decided by one goal.
  • Colorado finished 1-5-0 in the six games this season when it scored two goals (registering two points).
  • The Avalanche have scored three or more goals 14 times, and are 11-3-0 in those games (to record 22 points).
  • In the 10 games when Colorado has scored a single power-play goal, it went 6-4-0 to register 12 points.
  • In the 12 games when it outshot its opponent, Colorado is 7-5-0 (14 points).
  • The Avalanche's opponents have had more shots in six games. The Avalanche finished 4-2-0 in those matchups (eight points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have earned a record of 2-2-4 in overtime matchups as part of an overall mark of 10-7-2.
  • Tampa Bay has earned seven points (3-2-1) in its six games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Lightning scored just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
  • Tampa Bay failed to win all four games this season when it scored a pair of goals.
  • The Lightning have scored more than two goals in 14 games, earning 21 points from those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in four games this season and has recorded four points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 5-5-0 (10 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in seven games, going 4-1-2 to register 10 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Lightning AVG Lightning Rank
6th 3.48 Goals Scored 3.58 5th
29th 3.57 Goals Allowed 3.05 15th
16th 29.7 Shots 27.7 20th
3rd 25.7 Shots Allowed 28.4 12th
3rd 30.3% Power Play % 20.34% 14th
27th 74.55% Penalty Kill % 76.27% 22nd

Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

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