Lightning vs. Capitals Prediction & Picks - October 26

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-165)
Total Pick: Over 6.5 (computer predicts 7.4 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Capitals (+1.5)

The Tampa Bay Lightning (4-3) host the Washington Capitals (5-1), who have won five straight, on Saturday, October 26 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Prepare for this showdown with a glimpse at who we predict will emerge with the victory in Saturday's contest.

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final tally of Lightning 4, Capitals 3.

Tampa Bay is 1-1-0 (two points) in its two games decided by one goal.
Tampa Bay has lost both games this season when it scored two goals.
The Lightning have scored at least three goals five times, and are 4-1-0 in those games (to register eight points).
In the only game when Tampa Bay has recorded a lone power-play goal, it lost.
When it has outshot opponents, Tampa Bay is 3-3-0 (six points).

The Capitals have a 1-0-1 record in overtime contests this season and a 5-1 overall record.
Washington has won both of its games that were decided by one goal.
The Capitals have scored three or more goals six times, earning 10 points from those matchups (5-1-0).
Washington has scored a lone power-play goal in two games this season and has recorded two point from those matchups.
Washington is undefeated (3-0-0, six points) when outshooting its opponent this season.
The Capitals have been outshot by opponents three times this season, and earned four points in those games.

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Lightning Rank	Lightning AVG		Capitals AVG	Capitals Rank
5th	4	Goals Scored	4.33	4th
22nd	3.43	Goals Allowed	3	11th
18th	28.7	Shots	28.7	18th
2nd	26.1	Shots Allowed	26.8	6th
16th	20%	Power Play %	9.52%	30th
30th	69.23%	Penalty Kill %	80.95%	10th

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