Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - October 21

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The Toronto Maple Leafs (3-2) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (3-1) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, October 21 at 7:30 PM ET on NHL Network, with both teams heading into the game following a loss. The Maple Leafs are coming off a 4-1 defeat to the New York Rangers, while the Lightning fell to the Ottawa Senators 5-4 in their most recent outing.

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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Monday's hockey action.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-136)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • In the one game this season the Maple Leafs registered just one goal, they lost.
  • The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals three times, and are 3-0-0 in those games.
  • When it has outshot opponents, Toronto is 1-2-0 (two points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents twice, and won both times (four points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning had a 45-29-8 record last season, and were 8-9-17 in contests that needed overtime.
  • In the 20 games Tampa Bay played that were decided by one goal, it picked up 24 points.
  • Last season the Lightning scored only one goal in 10 games, and they picked up two points (1-9-0).
  • Tampa Bay accumulated seven points (1-14-5) when scoring exactly two goals last season.
  • The Lightning picked up 92 points in their 55 games when they scored three or more goals.
  • Tampa Bay scored a single power-play goal in 32 games last season and registered 40 points.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Tampa Bay was 26-14-2 (54 points).
  • The Lightning were outshot by their opponents 40 times last season, and took 44 points from those games.

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Team Stats Comparison (2023-24)

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Lightning AVG Lightning Rank
17th 3 Goals Scored 4 3rd
5th 2.2 Goals Allowed 2.5 7th
4th 32.8 Shots 26.3 26th
5th 27.4 Shots Allowed 25.3 3rd
26th 12.5% Power Play % 12.5% 26th
11th 85% Penalty Kill % 73.33% 24th

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Monday, October 21, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: NHL Network
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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