Lightning vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - October 19

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The Tampa Bay Lightning (3-0) will try to extend a three-game win streak when they play the Ottawa Senators (2-2) on the road on Saturday, October 19 at 1:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Here is our pick for who will secure the victory in Saturday's game.

Lightning vs. Senators Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final result of Lightning 5, Senators 1.

  • Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-133)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning (45-29-8 overall) had an 8-9-17 record last season in games that went to overtime.
  • Tampa Bay picked up 24 points (8-4-8) in the 20 games it played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the 10 games last season the Lightning scored just one goal, they finished 1-9-0 (two points).
  • Tampa Bay took seven points from the 20 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (1-14-5 record).
  • The Lightning scored more than two goals in 55 games (44-7-4, 92 points).
  • In the 32 games when Tampa Bay scored a lone power-play goal, it had an 18-10-4 record (40 points).
  • In the 42 games last season when it outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay was 26-14-2 (54 points).
  • The Lightning were outshot by their opponent 40 times, and went 19-15-6 (44 points).

Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators (37-41-4 overall) posted a record of 12-4-16 in contests that needed OT last season.
  • Ottawa picked up 22 points (9-10-4) in its 23 games decided by one goal.
  • Across the nine games last season the Senators finished with only one goal, they picked up three points.
  • Ottawa picked up 12 points (5-14-2 record) last season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Senators scored more than two goals in 48 games, earning 63 points from those contests.
  • Ottawa scored a single power-play goal in 28 games last season and picked up 19 points.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Ottawa was 22-25-2 (46 points).
  • The Senators were outshot by their opponents in 31 games last season, going 13-16-2 to register 28 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2023-24)

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Senators AVG Senators Rank
5th 3.51 Goals Scored 3.05 20th
22nd 3.26 Goals Allowed 3.43 26th
21st 29.3 Shots 31.7 10th
11th 29.6 Shots Allowed 29.7 13th
1st 28.63% Power Play % 18.02% 24th
5th 83.33% Penalty Kill % 75.1% 29th

Lightning vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

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