Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under - Oc

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens take the ice at Bell Centre for the first game of the season on Wednesday, October 9 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

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As the puck drops for the beginning of the NHL season, here's who we project to emerge victorious in Wednesday's action.

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Canadiens 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-188)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Canadiens (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs were 46-26-10 overall and 14-11-25 in overtime matchups last season.
  • Toronto picked up 43 points (17-6-9) in the 32 games it played that were decided by one goal.
  • In the 12 games last season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they went 2-9-1 (five points).
  • Toronto took 10 points from the 16 games last season when it scored exactly two goals (4-10-2 record).
  • The Maple Leafs scored three or more goals in 61 games (43-10-8, 94 points).
  • In the 30 games when Toronto scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 37 points by finishing 17-10-3.
  • When it outshot its opponent, Toronto was 27-16-8 (62 points).
  • The Maple Leafs were outshot by their opponent in 33 games, going 20-12-1 to record 41 points.

Canadiens Splits and Trends

  • The Canadiens (30-36-16 overall) posted a record of 10-16-26 in contests that required OT last season.
  • Montreal picked up 34 points (13-11-8) in its 32 games decided by one goal.
  • Last season the Canadiens scored only one goal in 11 games, and they picked up two points (0-9-2).
  • When Montreal scored two goals last season, they amassed 11 points (3-14-5 record).
  • The Canadiens picked up 63 points in their 46 games when they scored at least three goals.
  • Montreal scored a lone power-play goal in 30 games last season and recorded 30 points.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Montreal was 6-9-4 (16 points).
  • The Canadiens were outshot by their opponents 62 times last season, and took 60 points from those games.

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Team Stats Comparison (2023-24)

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Canadiens AVG Canadiens Rank
2nd 3.63 Goals Scored 2.83 26th
21st 3.18 Goals Allowed 3.43 26th
7th 32.6 Shots 27.7 27th
16th 29.8 Shots Allowed 33.4 30th
7th 23.95% Power Play % 17.46% 27th
23rd 76.89% Penalty Kill % 76.53% 24th

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Bell Centre in Montréal, Quebec

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