The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs play in Game 6 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round at Amerant Bank Arena on Friday, May 16, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on TNT. The Panthers are up 3-2 in the series. The Maple Leafs are underdogs (+188) against the Panthers (-230).
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To prepare for this matchup, here is who we project to bring home the win in Friday's NHL Playoffs Second Round action.
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Friday
Our computer model for this game expects a final score of Panthers 4, Maple Leafs 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-230)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)
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Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers have a 47-31-4 record overall, with an 11-4-15 record in matchups that have needed overtime.
- Florida has 28 points (12-8-4) in the 24 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
- In the 17 games this season the Panthers registered just one goal, they went 3-14-0 (six points).
- Florida has scored two goals in 16 games this season (7-7-2 record, 16 points).
- The Panthers have scored three or more goals in 54 games (44-8-2, 90 points).
- In the 42 games when Florida has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 27-11-4 to record 58 points.
- In the 61 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 36-22-3 (75 points).
- The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 21 games. The Panthers went 11-9-1 in those matchups (23 points).
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have a 13-6-19 record in overtime games this season and a 52-26-4 overall record.
- Toronto has earned 54 points (25-4-4) in its 33 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- Across the 13 games this season the Maple Leafs ended with just one goal, they have earned three points.
- When Toronto has scored two goals this season, they've earned seven points (3-10-1 record).
- The Maple Leafs have earned 112 points in their 61 games with at least three goals scored.
- This season, Toronto has recorded a single power-play goal in 35 games has a record of 25-8-2 in those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 18-13-2 (38 points).
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 52 games, going 36-13-3 to register 75 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Panthers Rank | Panthers AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15th | 3 | Goals Scored | 3.26 | 7th |
| 7th | 2.72 | Goals Allowed | 2.79 | 8th |
| 3rd | 31.5 | Shots | 28 | 18th |
| 5th | 26.2 | Shots Allowed | 29.3 | 25th |
| 11th | 23.83% | Power Play % | 24.77% | 9th |
| 10th | 80.42% | Penalty Kill % | 77.87% | 17th |
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Friday, May 16, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: TNT
- Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida
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