The Oklahoma City Thunder are massive 10-point favorites for Game 5 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Paycom Center on Tuesday, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, MAX, and truTV. The series is tied 2-2.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final result of Thunder 123, Nuggets 108.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-493)
- Total Pick: Over 221 (computer predicts 231.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-10)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/11/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 228 | -275 | +224 | 92-87 OKC |
| 5/9/2025 | Thunder | -6.5 | 232 | -266 | +217 | 113-104 DEN |
| 5/7/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 229.5 | -488 | +371 | 149-106 OKC |
| 5/5/2025 | Thunder | -10.5 | 228.5 | -481 | +366 | 121-119 DEN |
| 3/10/2025 | Thunder | -8.5 | 240.5 | -403 | +315 | 140-127 DEN |
| 3/9/2025 | Thunder | -7.5 | 243.5 | -311 | +249 | 127-103 OKC |
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 54-26-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have a 23-11-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 10 points or more.
- The teams have hit the over in 46 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total.
- This season, the Thunder have been favored 79 times and won 66, or 83.5%, of those games.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 32 of its 35 games, or 91.4%, when favored by at least -493 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Denver's ATS record is 38-44-0 this year.
- The Nuggets are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 10 points or more this season.
- A total of 49 of Denver's 82 games with a set total have hit the over (59.8%).
- The Nuggets have gone 10-10 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
- Denver has played as a moneyline underdog of +374 or longer in only one game this season, which it won.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles),
Hunter Tyson: Day-To-Day (Ankle)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, May 13, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT, MAX, and truTV
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
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