The Golden State Warriors are 6.5-point underdogs in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Tuesday, starting at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX.
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer projection model for this game calls for a final tally of Timberwolves 114, Warriors 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (-258)
- Total Pick: Over 210.5 (computer predicts 222.9 points)
- Pick ATS: Warriors (+6.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/15/2025 | Timberwolves | -7 | 216 | -269 | +216 | 116-115 GS |
| 12/21/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 217 | -175 | +147 | 113-103 GS |
| 12/8/2024 | Warriors | -1 | 215.5 | -113 | -106 | 114-106 GS |
| 12/6/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 107-90 MIN |
| 3/24/2024 | Timberwolves | -1.5 | 220 | -119 | -100 | 114-110 MIN |
| 11/14/2023 | Timberwolves | -3 | 216.5 | -152 | +126 | 104-101 MIN |
| 11/12/2023 | Warriors | -3 | 222 | -151 | +126 | 116-110 MIN |
Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Minnesota has gone 39-43-0 ATS this season.
- The Timberwolves have a 15-19 record against the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more.
- In Minnesota's 82 games with a set total, 44 have hit the over (53.7%).
- This season, the Timberwolves have been favored 63 times and won 40, or 63.5%, of those games.
- Minnesota has a record of 23-10, a 69.7% win rate, when it's favored by -258 or more by bookmakers this season.
Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Golden State has put together a 42-40-0 record against the spread.
- The Warriors have a 5-3 record against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season.
- Golden State has gone over in 41 of its 82 games with a set total (50%).
- The Warriors have an 11-16 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 40.7% of those games).
- Golden State has gone 3-3 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +210 or longer (50%).
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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Robert Dillingham: Out (Ankle)
Warriors
Warriors:
Gary Payton II: Questionable (Illness)
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Tuesday, May 6, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: TNT, truTV, and MAX
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
- Live stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
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