Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5

The Washington Capitals take their home ice at Capital One Arena to square off against the Montreal Canadiens for Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Wednesday, April 30, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Capitals have a 3-1 lead in the series. The Capitals are favored (-190) in this matchup against the Canadiens (+158).

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Prepare for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a look at who we project to emerge with the victory.

Capitals vs. Canadiens Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final score of Capitals 4, Canadiens 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-190)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Capitals (-1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals (51-22-9 overall) have a 9-9-18 record in games that have required overtime.
• In the 25 games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 15-4-6 record (good for 36 points).
• The 11 times this season the Capitals ended a game with only one goal, they went 1-9-1 (three points).
• Washington has taken six points from the 12 games this season when it scored two goals (2-8-2 record).
• The Capitals have scored three or more goals 60 times, and are 51-3-6 in those games (to register 108 points).
• In the 32 games when Washington has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 20-9-3 record (43 points).
• In the 47 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 32-11-4 (68 points).
• The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 37 games, going 21-11-5 to register 47 points.

Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens have earned a record of 10-12-22 in overtime contests on their way to an overall mark of 40-31-11.
• Montreal has earned 40 points (16-4-8) in its 28 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• In 10 games this season when the Canadiens ended a game with only one goal, they earned a total of five points (2-7-1).
• When Montreal has scored two goals this season, they've earned 10 points (3-11-4 record).
• The Canadiens have earned 78 points in their 53 games with three or more goals scored.
• This season, Montreal has recorded a lone power-play goal in 33 games has a record of 16-10-7 in those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Montreal has posted a record of 18-10-2 (38 points).
• The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents in 53 games, going 22-21-10 to register 54 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

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