Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 3

The Washington Capitals visit the Montreal Canadiens Friday at Bell Centre in Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round, beginning at 7 p.m. ET on TNT. The Capitals hold a 2-0 edge in the series. The Canadiens are underdogs (+117) in this matchup with the Capitals (-138).

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Get ready for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top.

Capitals vs. Canadiens Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Capitals 4, Canadiens 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-138)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Canadiens (+1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals are 51-22-9 overall and 9-9-18 in overtime games.
• In the 25 games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 15-4-6 record (good for 36 points).
• The 11 times this season the Capitals finished a game with just one goal, they went 1-9-1 (three points).
• Washington has scored a pair of goals in 12 games this season (2-8-2 record, six points).
• The Capitals have scored more than two goals 58 times, and are 50-2-6 in those games (to register 106 points).
• In the 32 games when Washington has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has a 20-9-3 record (43 points).
• In the 46 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 31-11-4 (66 points).
• The Capitals' opponents have had more shots in 36 games. The Capitals went 21-10-5 in those contests (47 points).

Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens have a record of 40-31-11 this season and are 10-12-22 in overtime contests.
• In the 28 games Montreal has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 40 points.
• Across the 10 games this season the Canadiens finished with only one goal, they have earned five points.
• When Montreal has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 10 points (3-10-4 record).
• The Canadiens have scored three or more goals 52 times, earning 76 points from those matchups (35-11-6).
• This season, Montreal has recorded a single power-play goal in 33 games and registered 39 points with a record of 16-10-7.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Montreal has posted a record of 17-10-2 (36 points).
• The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents 52 times this season, and earned 54 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Friday, April 25, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Bell Centre in Montréal, Quebec

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