Senators vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game

Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round will see the Ottawa Senators hosting the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday, April 24 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The Maple Leafs have a 2-0 edge in the series. The Maple Leafs are underdogs (-110) in this game against the Senators (-110).

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Get ready for this NHL Playoffs First Round matchup with a glimpse at who we project to emerge with the victory.

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this encounter calls for a final score of Senators 4, Maple Leafs 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Senators (-110)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Senators Splits and Trends

• The Senators (45-30-7 overall) have a 10-8-18 record in contests that have needed overtime.
• Ottawa is 21-6-6 (48 points) in its 33 games decided by one goal.
• In the nine games this season the Senators scored only one goal, they lost every time.
• Ottawa has scored two goals in 20 games this season (6-12-2 record, 14 points).
• The Senators have scored more than two goals 48 times, and are 39-5-4 in those games (to record 82 points).
• In the 28 games when Ottawa has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 15-10-3 record (33 points).
• In the 38 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Ottawa is 21-14-3 (45 points).
• The Senators' opponents have had more shots in 41 games. The Senators went 22-15-4 in those matchups (48 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have a 52-26-4 record this season and are 12-4-16 in contests that have needed overtime.
• In the 28 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 46 points.
• This season the Maple Leafs scored only one goal in 12 games and have gone 1-10-1 (three points).
• Toronto has earned seven points (3-10-1 record) this season when scoring two goals .
• The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals 55 times, earning 102 points from those matchups (50-3-2).
• Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 31 games this season and has recorded 45 points from those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 18-12-1 (37 points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 49 times this season, and earned 72 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, April 24, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario

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