Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game

Game 2 of the NHL Playoffs First Round features the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Ottawa Senators playing at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 22 on ESPN2. The Maple Leafs have a 1-0 lead in the series. Bookmakers list the Senators as underdogs in this matchup, listing them +139 moneyline odds against the Maple Leafs (-165).

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Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which team will secure the win in Tuesday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Senators 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-165)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (-1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs are 52-26-4 overall and 11-4-15 in overtime contests.
• In the 27 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 21-4-2 record (good for 44 points).
• In the 12 games this season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they went 1-10-1 (three points).
• Toronto has finished 3-10-1 in the 14 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering seven points).
• The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 54 games (49-3-2, 100 points).
• In the 30 games when Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 43 points after finishing 21-8-1.
• In the 31 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 18-12-1 (37 points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 48 games, going 34-12-2 to register 70 points.

Senators Splits and Trends

• The Senators have a 10-7-17 record in overtime matchups this season and a 45-30-7 overall record.
• Ottawa has earned 47 points (21-6-5) in its 32 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Senators registered only one goal in nine games and they lost every time.
• Ottawa has earned 13 points (6-12-1 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
• The Senators have scored three or more goals 48 times, earning 82 points from those matchups (39-5-4).
• Ottawa has scored a single power-play goal in 27 games this season and has registered 32 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Ottawa is 21-14-2 (44 points).
• The Senators' opponents have had more shots in 41 games. The Senators went 22-15-4 in those contests (48 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, April 22, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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