Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game

Game 1 of the NHL Playoffs First Round features the Toronto Maple Leafs hosting the Ottawa Senators on Sunday, April 20 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The Maple Leafs are the favorite, with -177 moneyline odds, in this matchup with the Senators, who have +148 moneyline odds.

Watch the NHL, other live sports and more on Fubo. What is Fubo? Fubo is a streaming service that gives you access to your favorite live sports and shows on demand. Use our link to sign up.

Before watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which club will emerge victorious in Sunday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Senators 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-177)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Pick Em

Catch NHL action all year long on Fubo.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have gone 11-4-15 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall record of 52-26-4.
• In the 27 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 21-4-2 record (good for 44 points).
• The 12 times this season the Maple Leafs ended a game with just one goal, they went 1-10-1 (three points).
• Toronto has finished 3-10-1 in the 14 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering seven points).
• The Maple Leafs are 48-3-2 in the 53 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 98 points).
• In the 30 games when Toronto has scored a single power-play goal, it picked up 43 points after finishing 21-8-1.
• In the 31 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto is 18-12-1 (37 points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 47 times, and went 33-12-2 (68 points).

Senators Splits and Trends

• The Senators have posted a record of 10-7-17 in overtime games to contribute to an overall mark of 45-30-7.
• Ottawa has earned 47 points (21-6-5) in its 32 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Senators registered only one goal in nine games and they lost every time.
• Ottawa has 13 points (6-11-1) when scoring two goals this season.
• The Senators have scored three or more goals 48 times, earning 82 points from those matchups (39-5-4).
• This season, Ottawa has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 27 games and picked up 32 points with a record of 15-10-2.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Ottawa has posted a record of 21-13-2 (44 points).
• The Senators have been outshot by opponents 41 times this season, and earned 48 points in those games.

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, April 20, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

Sign up for Fubo to watch the Maple Leafs play Senators.