The Buffalo Sabres (29-35-6), winners of three home games in a row, host the Pittsburgh Penguins (29-33-11) at KeyBank Center on Thursday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Here is our pick for who will capture the win in Thursday's matchup.
The Penguins have put up a 5-4-1 record over their past 10 contests. They have totaled 31 goals while giving up 30 in that period. On the power play, 19 opportunities have resulted in five goals (26.3% success rate).
Sabres vs. Penguins Predictions for Thursday
Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final score of Sabres 4, Penguins 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Sabres (-135)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)
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Sabres Splits and Trends
- The Sabres are 6-6-12 in overtime contests as part of a 29-35-6 overall record.
- In the 23 games Buffalo has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 11-7-5 record (good for 27 points).
- In the nine games this season the Sabres scored just one goal, they've finished 1-8-0 (two points).
- Buffalo has finished 1-14-1 in the 16 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering three points).
- The Sabres are 27-10-5 in the 42 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 59 points).
- In the 28 games when Buffalo has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it has an 11-16-1 record (23 points).
- In the 26 games when it outshot its opponent, Buffalo is 11-13-2 (24 points).
- The Sabres' opponents have had more shots in 43 games. The Sabres went 18-21-4 in those contests (40 points).
Penguins Splits and Trends
- The Penguins have a record of 29-33-11 this season and are 9-11-20 in overtime games.
- Pittsburgh has earned 29 points (12-4-5) in its 21 games decided by one goal.
- This season the Penguins scored only one goal in 12 games and they lost every time.
- Pittsburgh has earned nine points (2-10-5 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
- The Penguins have scored at least three goals 39 times, earning 60 points from those matchups (27-6-6).
- This season, Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in 27 games and picked up 25 points with a record of 10-12-5.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 12-12-5 (29 points).
- The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 41 games. The Penguins went 16-19-6 in those matchups (38 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Sabres Rank | Sabres AVG | Penguins AVG | Penguins Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12th | 3.1 | Goals Scored | 2.92 | 19th |
| 29th | 3.5 | Goals Allowed | 3.58 | 31st |
| 22nd | 27.5 | Shots | 28.1 | 18th |
| 21st | 28.8 | Shots Allowed | 30.6 | 29th |
| 27th | 17.91% | Power Play % | 24.37% | 11th |
| 21st | 76.42% | Penalty Kill % | 77.2% | 18th |
Sabres vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, March 27, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York
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