Pistons vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Stats – March 19

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The Miami Heat (29-39) will try to end an eight-game losing streak when they host the Detroit Pistons (38-31) on Wednesday, March 19, 2025 at Kaseya Center as 4.5-point underdogs. The contest airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSDET, and FDSSUN.

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Pistons vs. Heat Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this game expects a final result of Pistons 113, Heat 111.

  • Moneyline Pick: Pistons (-187)
  • Total Pick: Over 218.5 (computer predicts 223.8 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (+4.5)

Recent Pistons vs. Heat Matchups

Pistons vs Heat (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
12/16/2024 Heat -4.5 219 -193 +160 125-124 DET
11/12/2024 Heat -1.5 214.5 -120 +100 123-121 DET
10/28/2024 Heat -8.5 219.5 -357 +284 106-98 MIA
3/17/2024 Heat -5 214 -221 +182 104-101 MIA
3/15/2024 Heat -7.5 217 -341 +274 108-95 MIA
3/5/2024 Heat -11.5 217.5 -645 +468 118-110 MIA
10/25/2023 Heat -9.5 218 -443 +343 103-102 MIA

Pistons 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 39-30-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 4.5 points or more, the Pistons have an 11-7 record against the spread.
  • Detroit has gone over in 34 of its 68 games with a set total (50%).
  • The Pistons have been favorites in 31 games this season and won 21 (67.7%) of those contests.
  • Detroit has a record of 13-3, a 81.2% win rate, when it's favored by -187 or more by sportsbooks this season.

Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Miami's ATS record is 28-37-3 this season.
  • The Heat are 7-10-1 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • A total of 35 of Miami's 68 games with a set total have hit the over (51.5%).
  • The Heat have gone 8-23 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25.8% of those games).
  • Miami has gone 4-13 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +155 or longer (23.5%).

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Pistons vs. Heat Injury Report

Pistons

Pistons:

Jaden Ivey: Out (Leg)

Heat

Heat:

Alec Burks: Questionable (Back),

Andrew Wiggins: Questionable (Leg),

Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),

Nikola Jovic: Out (Hand)

Pistons vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, March 19, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN, FDSDET, and FDSSUN
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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