Mississippi State vs. Baylor Predictions - NCAA Tournament

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The No. 8 Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) and the No. 9 Baylor Bears (19-14) battle on Friday for a spot in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The first-round matchup starts at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Mississippi State is a slight 1.5-point favorite against Baylor when the Bulldogs take on the Bears on Friday. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5.

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Mississippi State vs. Baylor Odds and Game Info

  • Game day: Friday, March 21, 2025
  • Game time: 12:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS
  • Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
  • Arena: Lenovo Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Mississippi State vs. Baylor Odds and Prediction

  • Spread favorite: Mississippi State (-1.5)
  • Moneyline: Mississippi State (-122), Baylor (+104)
  • Total: 144.5 points

Pick ATS:Baylor (+1.5)

  • Pick OU: Over (144.5)
  • Prediction: Baylor 76, Mississippi State 74

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Mississippi State vs. Baylor Comparison

Mississippi State Rank Mississippi State Stat Baylor Stat Baylor Rank
43rd 79.8 Points Scored 76.5 106th
248th 74.2 Points Allowed 69.2 89th
67th 15.3 Assists 14.6 100th
88th 10.2 Turnovers 10.3 99th
155th 45.1% Field Goal % 44.8% 168th
188th 43.9% Field Goal % Allowed 43.4% 152nd

Mississippi State Key Players

  • Josh Hubbard leads the Bulldogs in scoring, tallying 18.6 points per game to go with 2.2 rebounds and 3.2 assists.
  • KeShawn Murphy leads Mississippi State in rebounding, averaging 7.5 per game, while Cameron Matthews leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 3.6 in each contest.
  • Hubbard makes more threes per game than any other member of the Bulldogs, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.2 per contest.
  • Matthews and Murphy lead Mississippi State on the defensive end, with Matthews leading the team in steals averaging 2.5 per game and Murphy in blocks averaging 1.2 per contest.

Baylor Key Players

  • Norchad Omier collects 15.9 points and 10.9 rebounds per game for the Bears, enough to be the top scorer and rebounder on the squad.
  • Robert O. Wright III's assist statline paces Baylor with 4.3 assists per game.
  • Jayden Nunn is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Bears, hitting 1.9 threes per game.
  • Baylor's leader in steals is VJ Edgecombe (2.1 per game), and its leader in blocks is Omier (1.0 per game).

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