The Toronto Maple Leafs (39-24-3), losers of three home games in a row, host the Calgary Flames (30-24-11) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Here's our pick for who will capture the win in Monday's matchup.
Over the last 10 games, the Flames have gone 4-3-3 while putting up 21 goals against 22 goals given up. On 27 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored five goals (18.5%).
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Predictions for Monday
Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Flames 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-206)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Pick Em
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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have finished 8-3-11 in overtime matchups to contribute to an overall record of 39-24-3.
- Toronto is 14-4-2 (30 points) in its 20 games decided by one goal.
- In the 10 games this season the Maple Leafs registered just one goal, they finished 0-9-1.
- Toronto has taken five points from the 12 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (2-9-1 record).
- The Maple Leafs are 37-3-1 in the 41 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 75 points).
- In the 25 games when Toronto has recorded a single power-play goal, it picked up 35 points after finishing 17-7-1.
- In the 27 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 14-12-1 (29 points).
- The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 37 games. The Maple Leafs finished 25-10-2 in those contests (52 points).
Flames Splits and Trends
- The Flames have posted a record of 6-11-17 in overtime games as part of an overall mark of 30-24-11.
- In the 21 games Calgary has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 29 points.
- This season the Flames recorded just one goal in 12 games and have gone 2-7-3 (seven points).
- Calgary has eight points (2-8-4) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Flames have scored more than two goals 35 times, earning 56 points from those matchups (26-5-4).
- This season, Calgary has scored a single power-play goal in 28 games has a record of 12-9-7 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Calgary has posted a record of 19-7-5 (43 points).
- The Flames have been outshot by opponents in 31 games, going 11-14-6 to record 28 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Maple Leafs Rank | Maple Leafs AVG | Flames AVG | Flames Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11th | 3.17 | Goals Scored | 2.55 | 32nd |
| 18th | 2.97 | Goals Allowed | 2.89 | 14th |
| 14th | 28.3 | Shots | 28.7 | 12th |
| 24th | 29.1 | Shots Allowed | 29.3 | 25th |
| 10th | 24.04% | Power Play % | 21.74% | 18th |
| 16th | 77.95% | Penalty Kill % | 75.52% | 25th |
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Monday, March 17, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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