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The Western's top two teams, the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-11) and the Denver Nuggets (41-22), take the court at Paycom Center on Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET on ABC and ESPN+. The Thunder are favored by 7.5 points at home.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Predictions for Sunday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final score of Thunder 121, Nuggets 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-333)
- Total Pick: Under 240.5 (computer predicts 231.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-7.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Nuggets Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/6/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 224.5 | -256 | +215 | 124-122 DEN |
| 10/24/2024 | Nuggets | -2 | 228.5 | -134 | +113 | 102-87 OKC |
| 1/31/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 223 | -221 | +180 | 105-100 OKC |
| 12/29/2023 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237.5 | -125 | +105 | 119-93 OKC |
| 12/16/2023 | Nuggets | -5 | 237.5 | -206 | +171 | 118-117 OKC |
| 10/29/2023 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 230.5 | -163 | +139 | 128-95 DEN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 39-23-1 record against the spread.
- The Thunder have a 23-15-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 7.5 points or more this season.
- Oklahoma City has hit the over in 36 of its 63 games with a set total (57.1%).
- The Thunder have been favorites in 61 games this season and won 51 (83.6%) of those contests.
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 30 of its 35 games, or 85.7%, when favored by at least -333 on the moneyline.
Nuggets 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Denver has gone 31-32-0 ATS this season.
- The Nuggets are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
- In Denver's 63 games with a set total, 37 have hit the over (58.7%).
- The Nuggets have a 7-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 50% of those games).
- Denver has played as a moneyline underdog of +266 or longer in just one game this season, which it lost.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl),
Ajay Mitchell: Out (Toe)
Nuggets
Nuggets:
DaRon Holmes: Out For Season (Achilles),
Julian Strawther: Out (Knee),
Nikola Jokic: Probable (Ankle),
Aaron Gordon: Probable (Ankle)
Thunder vs. Nuggets Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Sunday, March 9, 2025
- Game time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC and ESPN+
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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