Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - March 8

The Colorado Avalanche (37-24-2), winners of six home games in a row, host the Toronto Maple Leafs (38-21-3) at Ball Arena on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET on NHL Network.

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Here is our prediction for who will clinch the win in Saturday's matchup.

The Maple Leafs have a 7-2-1 record in their past 10 contests. They have totaled 39 goals while conceding 29 in that period. On the power play, 31 opportunities have resulted in nine goals (29.0% success rate).

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projection model for this encounter calls for a final tally of Avalanche 4, Maple Leafs 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-155)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

• The Avalanche (37-24-2 overall) have a 5-2-7 record in matchups that have required overtime.
• In the 16 games Colorado has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 12-3-1 record (good for 25 points).
• The 10 times this season the Avalanche ended a game with only one goal, they went 1-8-1 (three points).
• Colorado has taken seven points from the 11 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (3-7-1 record).
• The Avalanche are 33-6-0 in the 39 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 66 points).
• In the 23 games when Colorado has recorded a single power-play goal, it registered 33 points after finishing 16-6-1.
• When it has outshot opponents, Colorado is 22-14-1 (45 points).
• The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 13-8-0 to record 26 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have a 7-3-10 record in overtime matchups this season and a 38-21-3 overall record.
• Toronto has earned 30 points (14-3-2) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal in 10 games and they finished 0-9-1 in those matchups.
• Toronto has five points (2-7-1) when scoring two goals this season.
• The Maple Leafs have earned 73 points in their 39 games with more than two goals scored.
• This season, Toronto has recorded a single power-play goal in 24 games and registered 35 points with a record of 17-6-1.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 14-12-1 (29 points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 34 games, going 24-8-2 to register 50 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: NHL Network
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

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