The Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) are 8.5-point underdogs as they attempt to end a three-game home losing streak when they square off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-11) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at FedExForum. The game airs at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN, FDSSE, and FDSOK.
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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this game expects a final score of Thunder 119, Grizzlies 114.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-328)
- Total Pick: Under 252.5 (computer predicts 233.1 points)
- Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+8.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Grizzlies Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/8/2025 | Thunder | -1.5 | 244.5 | -120 | +101 | 125-112 OKC |
| 12/29/2024 | Thunder | -8.5 | 234 | -309 | +249 | 130-106 OKC |
| 3/16/2024 | Thunder | -11 | 218.5 | -555 | +408 | 118-112 OKC |
| 3/10/2024 | Thunder | -15 | 219.5 | -1199 | +729 | 124-93 OKC |
| 12/18/2023 | Thunder | -10.5 | 229.5 | -512 | +381 | 116-97 OKC |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City has a 37-23-1 record against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 8.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 19-14-1 against the spread.
- Oklahoma City's games have gone over the point total in 36 out of 61 opportunities (59%).
- The Thunder have won 49, or 83.1%, of the 59 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 30-5, a 85.7% win rate, when it's favored by -328 or more by bookmakers this season.
Grizzlies 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Memphis has put together a 35-25-1 record against the spread.
- The Grizzlies have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 8.5 points or more this year (0-1).
- Memphis' games have hit the over 39 out of 61 times (63.9%).
- The Grizzlies have been the moneyline underdog 20 total times this season. They've finished 8-12 in those games.
- Memphis has not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +262 or longer.
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Thunder vs. Grizzlies Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl),
Alex Caruso: Out (Ankle),
Isaiah Joe: Questionable (Back),
Ajay Mitchell: Out (Toe)
Grizzlies
Grizzlies:
Ja Morant: Questionable (Shoulder),
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (Ankle),
Zyon Pullin: Out (Knee),
Scotty Pippen Jr.: Questionable (Toe),
Yuki Kawamura: Out (Hamstring),
John Konchar: Questionable (Knee),
Santi Aldama: Questionable (Calf)
Thunder vs. Grizzlies Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN, FDSSE, and FDSOK
- Location: Memphis, Tennessee
- Arena: FedExForum
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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