Stars vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - March 6

The Dallas Stars (40-19-2) host the Calgary Flames (29-23-9) at American Airlines Center on Thursday, March 6 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Stars have won six in a row at home.

Sign up for ESPN+ today to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.

Before watching this matchup, here's our prediction for which club will bring home the win in Thursday's hockey action.

In the past 10 games, the Flames have gone 4-4-2 while scoring 23 goals against 27 goals given up. On 36 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored eight goals (22.2%).

Stars vs. Flames Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final score of Stars 4, Flames 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (-260)
• Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Stars (-1.5)

Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars are 40-19-2 overall and 6-2-8 in overtime matchups.
• Dallas is 11-6-1 (23 points) in its 18 games decided by one goal.
• In the seven games this season the Stars scored only one goal, they've finished 1-6-0 (two points).
• Dallas has taken 13 points from the 15 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (6-8-1 record).
• The Stars are 33-5-1 in the 39 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 67 points).
• In the 21 games when Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 17-4-0 to register 34 points.
• In the 33 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 20-12-1 (41 points).
• The Stars have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 19-6-1 to register 39 points.

Flames Splits and Trends

• The Flames (29-23-9 overall) have posted a record of 6-9-15 in matchups that have required OT this season.
• In the 19 games Calgary has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 26 points.
• In 11 games this season when the Flames finished a game with only one goal, they earned a total of five points (1-7-3).
• When Calgary has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned seven points (2-7-3 record).
• The Flames have scored more than two goals in 34 games, earning 55 points from those contests.
• Calgary has scored a lone power-play goal in 26 games this season and has recorded 30 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 19-7-4 (42 points).
• The Flames' opponents have had more shots in 28 games. The Flames finished 10-13-5 in those contests (25 points).

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, March 6, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

Sign up for ESPN+ to watch the Stars take on Flames.