Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - March 5

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Two of the best teams in the NHL, the Vegas Golden Knights (third in the Western Conference at 36-18-6) and the Toronto Maple Leafs (second in the Eastern Conference at 38-20-3), square off on Wednesday, March 5 at 10 p.m. ET on TNT.

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Here is our prediction for who will capture the victory in Wednesday's matchup.

The Maple Leafs have put up an 8-1-1 record in their past 10 contests. They have totaled 41 goals while giving up 27 in that time. On the power play, 30 opportunities have resulted in 10 goals (33.3% conversion rate).

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer projection model for this encounter expects a final result of Golden Knights 4, Maple Leafs 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Golden Knights (-162)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Golden Knights Splits and Trends

  • The Golden Knights have a 36-18-6 record overall, with a 3-6-9 record in games that have needed overtime.
  • Vegas is 10-6-4 (24 points) in its 20 games decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the five times this season the Golden Knights ended a game with only one goal, they have a 1-2-2 record, good for four points.
  • Vegas finished 1-7-0 in the eight games this season when it scored two goals (registering two points).
  • The Golden Knights have scored more than two goals in 44 games (34-6-4, 72 points).
  • In the 23 games when Vegas has scored a lone power-play goal, it picked up 25 points after finishing 11-9-3.
  • In the 41 games when it outshot its opponent, Vegas is 26-13-2 (54 points).
  • The Golden Knights have been outshot by opponents 17 times, and went 10-4-3 (23 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a 7-3-10 record in overtime games this season and a 38-20-3 overall record.
  • Toronto has earned 30 points (14-3-2) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Maple Leafs recorded just one goal in 10 games and they finished 0-9-1 in those matchups.
  • Toronto has earned five points (2-6-1 record) this season when scoring two goals .
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals 39 times, earning 73 points from those matchups (36-2-1).
  • Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 23 games this season and has recorded 35 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 14-11-1 (29 points).
  • The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 34 games. The Maple Leafs finished 24-8-2 in those matchups (50 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Golden Knights Rank Golden Knights AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
6th 3.3 Goals Scored 3.21 10th
7th 2.73 Goals Allowed 2.85 10th
4th 30.7 Shots 28.5 16th
4th 26.3 Shots Allowed 29.2 23rd
3rd 28.47% Power Play % 23.53% 10th
20th 77.05% Penalty Kill % 79.44% 15th

Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada

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