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Something has to give when the Florida Panthers (37-21-3, riding a three-game winning streak) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (35-20-4, winners of eight straight). The contest on Monday, March 3 starts at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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Get ready for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Monday's hockey action.
In the last 10 contests, the Lightning are 9-0-1. They have scored 39 goals, while their opponents have scored 16. They have gone on the power play 22 times during that span, and have capitalized with six goals (27.3% of opportunities).
Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions for Monday
Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final tally of Panthers 4, Lightning 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-153)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)
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Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers have a 37-21-3 record overall, with a 6-3-9 record in contests that have required overtime.
- Florida is 7-3-3 (17 points) in its 13 games decided by one goal.
- Looking at the 12 times this season the Panthers finished a game with just one goal, they have a 2-10-0 record, good for four points.
- Florida has finished 2-3-1 in the six games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering five points).
- The Panthers have scored three or more goals in 39 games (33-4-2, 68 points).
- In the 27 games when Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 19-5-3 to register 41 points.
- In the 37 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 23-12-2 (48 points).
- The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 18 games. The Panthers went 10-7-1 in those matchups (21 points).
Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning have a 35-20-4 record this season and are 5-4-9 in contests that have required overtime.
- Tampa Bay has earned 17 points (7-7-3) in its 17 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Lightning scored just one goal in six games and they finished 0-5-1 in those matchups.
- Tampa Bay has two points (0-8-2) in 10 games this season when it has scored two goals.
- The Lightning have scored at least three goals in 42 games, earning 71 points from those contests.
- This season, Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal in 21 games and picked up 30 points with a record of 15-6-0.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 18-12-0 (36 points).
- The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 26 games, going 16-6-4 to register 36 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Panthers Rank | Panthers AVG | Lightning AVG | Lightning Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7th | 3.28 | Goals Scored | 3.56 | 2nd |
| 9th | 2.8 | Goals Allowed | 2.63 | 6th |
| 2nd | 31.9 | Shots | 28.8 | 13th |
| 7th | 27 | Shots Allowed | 28.5 | 17th |
| 10th | 23.2% | Power Play % | 27.27% | 4th |
| 17th | 79.07% | Penalty Kill % | 81.08% | 10th |
Panthers vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Monday, March 3, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida
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