Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - March 2

The Toronto Maple Leafs (37-20-2, on a four-game winning streak) go on the road against the Pittsburgh Penguins (24-29-9) at PPG Paints Arena. The matchup on Sunday, March 2 starts at 1 p.m. ET on TNT.

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As hockey action continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which squad we predict will pick up the victory in Sunday's game.

Over the past 10 games, the Penguins are 4-5-1 while totaling 27 total goals (three power-play goals on 27 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 11.1%). They have given up 33 goals.

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Predictions for Sunday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final score of Maple Leafs 4, Penguins 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-188)
• Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs are 6-2-8 in overtime games as part of a 37-20-2 overall record.
• Toronto has 28 points (13-3-2) in the 18 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the 10 games this season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal, they finished 0-9-1.
• Toronto has taken four points from the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (2-6-0 record).
• The Maple Leafs have scored at least three goals 38 times, and are 35-2-1 in those games (to record 71 points).
• In the 23 games when Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal, it has a 17-5-1 record (35 points).
• In the 25 games when it outshot its opponent, Toronto is 14-11-0 (28 points).
• The Maple Leafs' opponents have had more shots in 33 games. The Maple Leafs went 23-8-2 in those matchups (48 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

• The Penguins have a 8-9-17 record in overtime games this season and a 24-29-9 overall record.
• In the 19 games Pittsburgh has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 26 points.
• This season the Penguins registered only one goal in 10 games and they lost every time.
• Pittsburgh has nine points (2-9-5) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
• The Penguins have earned 48 points in their 32 games with at least three goals scored.
• Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal in 23 games this season and has registered 18 points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Pittsburgh is 12-11-4 (28 points).
• The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 32 games. The Penguins finished 11-16-5 in those matchups (27 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

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