Heat vs. Hawks Predictions, Odds & Stats – February 26

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The Miami Heat (26-30) host the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Heat are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season.

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Heat vs. Hawks Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this encounter expects a final score of Heat 116, Hawks 112.

  • Moneyline Pick: Heat (-143)
  • Total Pick: Under 231 (computer predicts 228.0 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (-2.5)

Recent Heat vs. Hawks Matchups

Heat vs Hawks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/24/2025 Hawks -1.5 231.5 -121 +101 98-86 ATL
12/28/2024 Hawks -1.5 227 -106 -113 120-110 ATL
4/9/2024 Heat -3.5 217.5 -156 +132 117-111 MIA
1/19/2024 Heat -7 221.5 -283 +229 109-108 ATL
12/22/2023 Heat -1 238.5 -117 -102 122-113 MIA
11/11/2023 Hawks -7.5 227 -302 +238 117-109 MIA

Heat 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Miami has a 22-31-3 record against the spread this season.
  • When they have played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, the Heat are 13-11-2 against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in 30 of Miami's 58 games with a set total.
  • This season, the Heat have been favored 32 times and won 19, or 59.4%, of those games.
  • This season, Miami has won 18 of its 26 games, or 69.2%, when favored by at least -143 on the moneyline.

Hawks 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Atlanta is 28-30-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Hawks have a 20-12 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 2.5 points or more.
  • In Atlanta's 58 games with a set total, 33 have hit the over (56.9%).
  • The Hawks have gone 17-21 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.7% of those games).
  • Atlanta has a record of 14-15 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +121 or longer (48.3%).

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Heat vs. Hawks Injury Report

Heat

Heat:

Dru Smith: Out For Season (Achilles),

Kel'el Ware: Probable (Ankle),

Nikola Jovic: Out (Hand),

Andrew Wiggins: Probable (Jaw),

Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Calf)

Hawks

Hawks:

Kobe Bufkin: Out For Season (Shoulder),

Jalen Johnson: Out For Season (Shoulder),

Larry Nance Jr.: Out (Knee),

Vit Krejci: Out (Back),

Trae Young: Probable (Achilles)

Heat vs. Hawks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
  • Game time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN and FDSSE
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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