Maple Leafs vs. Flames Prediction & Picks - February 4

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The Toronto Maple Leafs (31-19-2) visit the Calgary Flames (26-19-7) at Scotiabank Saddledome on Tuesday, February 4 at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN+, with each team back in action after a win. The Maple Leafs are coming off a 4-3 triumph over the Edmonton Oilers, while the Flames took down the Seattle Kraken 3-2 in their most recent outing.

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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will win the game in Tuesday's hockey action.

Over the past 10 games, the Flames have gone 5-5-0 while totaling 26 total goals (eight power-play goals on 26 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 30.8%). They have conceded 26 goals.

Maple Leafs vs. Flames Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final score of Flames 4, Maple Leafs 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Flames (+118)
  • Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Flames (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs are 5-2-7 in overtime games on their way to a 31-19-2 overall record.
  • In the 15 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 11-2-2 record (good for 24 points).
  • In the nine games this season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
  • Toronto has finished 2-6-0 in the eight games this season when it scored two goals (registering four points).
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals in 32 games (29-2-1, 59 points).
  • In the 19 games when Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 13-5-1 to register 27 points.
  • In the 21 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 11-10-0 (22 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 30 times, and went 20-8-2 (42 points).

Flames Splits and Trends

  • The Flames have a record of 26-19-7 this season and are 6-7-13 in overtime games.
  • In the 16 games Calgary has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 22 points.
  • This season the Flames scored just one goal in 10 games and have gone 1-7-2 (four points).
  • When Calgary has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned six points (2-6-2 record).
  • The Flames have scored more than two goals in 30 games, earning 49 points from those contests.
  • This season, Calgary has scored a lone power-play goal in 22 games and registered 25 points with a record of 10-7-5.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Calgary is 17-6-3 (37 points).
  • The Flames have been outshot by opponents 23 times this season, and earned 22 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Flames AVG Flames Rank
13th 3.06 Goals Scored 2.65 28th
12th 2.88 Goals Allowed 2.9 15th
15th 28.7 Shots 29.3 11th
20th 29.1 Shots Allowed 29.1 20th
13th 22.54% Power Play % 22.07% 15th
12th 80.26% Penalty Kill % 73.33% 28th

Maple Leafs vs. Flames Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta

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