The Ottawa Senators (24-20-4) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-17-2) at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, January 25 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+, with each team back in action after a loss. The Senators are coming off a 2-0 defeat to the Boston Bruins, while the Maple Leafs were beaten by the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-1 in their most recent game.
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Prepare for this matchup by checking out our prediction for who will come out on top in Saturday's hockey action.
In the last 10 games, the Maple Leafs have put up a 6-4-0 record after putting up 33 total goals (six power-play goals on 24 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 25.0%). Their opponents have scored a combined 33 goals in those games.
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Saturday
Our computer projection model for this matchup calls for a final result of Senators 4, Maple Leafs 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Senators (-111)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)
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Senators Splits and Trends
- The Senators have a 24-20-4 record overall, with a 6-4-10 record in games that have gone to overtime.
- In the 18 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 11-4-3 record (good for 25 points).
- In the five games this season the Senators scored only one goal, they lost every time.
- Ottawa has taken seven points from the 11 games this season when it scored two goals (3-7-1 record).
- The Senators have scored more than two goals in 26 games (21-3-2, 44 points).
- In the 13 games when Ottawa has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 6-5-2 record (14 points).
- In games when it has outshot its opponent, Ottawa is 13-10-1 (27 points).
- The Senators have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 10-9-2 to record 22 points.
Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs have a 30-17-2 record this season and are 5-2-7 in contests that have needed overtime.
- Toronto has earned 22 points (10-1-2) in its 13 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- This season the Maple Leafs recorded only one goal in seven games and they finished 0-6-1 in those matchups.
- When Toronto has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned four points (2-6-0 record).
- The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals in 31 games, earning 57 points from those contests.
- Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 19 games this season and has recorded 27 points from those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 11-8-0 (22 points).
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 29 times this season, and earned 40 points in those games.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Senators Rank | Senators AVG | Maple Leafs AVG | Maple Leafs Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25th | 2.73 | Goals Scored | 3.12 | 11th |
| 8th | 2.77 | Goals Allowed | 2.9 | 13th |
| 9th | 29.4 | Shots | 28.6 | 14th |
| 10th | 27.2 | Shots Allowed | 29 | 20th |
| 13th | 22.08% | Power Play % | 21.74% | 15th |
| 17th | 78.26% | Penalty Kill % | 80.95% | 12th |
Senators vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Saturday, January 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Where: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario
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