Capitals vs. Senators Prediction & Picks - January 16

Boston Bruins v Washington Capitals — Photo: Getty Images

The Ottawa Senators (22-18-3) will aim to continue a three-game win streak when they square off against the Washington Capitals (29-10-5) at home on Thursday, January 16 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

Get ready for this matchup with a glimpse at who we predict will come out on top in Thursday's contest.

Over the past 10 contests, the Senators have gone 4-5-1 while scoring 20 goals against 25 goals conceded. On 26 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored six goals (23.1%).

Capitals vs. Senators Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this contest calls for a final result of Capitals 4, Senators 3.

Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-111)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.9 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Senators (+1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

The Capitals are 4-5-9 in overtime matchups on their way to a 29-10-5 overall record.
In the 14 games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-3-3 record (good for 19 points).
In the four games this season the Capitals recorded just one goal, they finished 0-3-1.
Washington has taken five points from the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (2-5-1 record).
The Capitals are 27-1-3 in the 31 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 57 points).
In the 19 games when Washington has scored a single power-play goal, it has a 12-4-3 record (27 points).
When it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 17-4-1 (35 points).
The Capitals have been outshot by opponents 20 times, and went 11-5-4 (26 points).

Senators Splits and Trends

The Senators have earned a record of 5-3-8 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall mark of 22-18-3.
In the 16 games Ottawa has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 22 points.
This season the Senators recorded only one goal in five games and they lost every time.
When Ottawa has scored a pair of goals this season, they've earned five points (2-7-1 record).
The Senators have scored three or more goals 25 times, earning 42 points from those matchups (20-3-2).
This season, Ottawa has scored a lone power-play goal in 12 games has a record of 5-5-2 in those matchups.
When it outshoots its opponent this season, Ottawa has posted a record of 12-9-1 (25 points).
The Senators have been outshot by opponents 18 times this season, and earned 19 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals Rank	Capitals AVG		Senators AVG	Senators Rank
2nd	3.61	Goals Scored	2.88	20th
5th	2.52	Goals Allowed	2.77	8th
22nd	27.3	Shots	29.6	9th
12th	27.7	Shots Allowed	27.2	9th
10th	23.62%	Power Play %	23.74%	9th
3rd	83.58%	Penalty Kill %	78.57%	18th

Capitals vs. Senators Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, January 16, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
Where: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario