Stars vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - January 14

The Dallas Stars (27-14-1) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-15-2) at Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, January 14 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Stars fell to the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in their last game, while the Maple Leafs are coming off a 3-0 loss to the Vancouver Canucks.

Sign up for ESPN+ today to watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more.

Ahead of this matchup, here is who we expect to take home the victory in Tuesday's hockey contest.

Over the past 10 contests, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4-0 while totaling 29 total goals (six power-play goals on 26 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 23.1%). They have allowed 28 goals.

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this contest predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Stars 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+107)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

Watch 1,000+ out-of-market NHL games, ESPN+ Hockey Night & more streaming all season on ESPN+.

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have gone 5-1-6 in overtime contests to contribute to an overall record of 27-14-1.
• In the 12 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 7-4-1 record (good for 15 points).
• In the four games this season the Stars registered just one goal, they've finished 1-3-0 (two points).
• Dallas has scored two goals in 14 games this season (5-8-1 record, 11 points).
• The Stars have scored at least three goals 24 times, and are 21-3-0 in those games (to register 42 points).
• In the 13 games when Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal, it picked up 18 points after finishing 9-4-0.
• In the 27 games when it outshot its opponent, Dallas is 16-10-1 (33 points).
• The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Stars went 11-3-0 in those matchups (22 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

• The Maple Leafs have posted a record of 4-2-6 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall mark of 27-15-2.
• In the 12 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 20 points.
• This season the Maple Leafs scored only one goal in five games and they finished 0-4-1 in those matchups.
• Toronto has four points (2-6-0) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
• The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals in 28 games, earning 51 points from those contests.
• This season, Toronto has recorded a lone power-play goal in 17 games and registered 23 points with a record of 11-5-1.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 10-6-0 (20 points).
• The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 27 times this season, and earned 36 points in those games.

Looking for NHL tickets? Head to StubHub today and see your team live.

Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, January 14, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

Sign up for ESPN+ to watch the Stars take on Maple Leafs.