Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Prediction & Picks - January 2

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The Eastern Conference's third-ranked squad, the Toronto Maple Leafs (23-13-2), visit the 13th-ranked group from the Eastern Conference, the New York Islanders (14-17-7), on Thursday, January 2 at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+.

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Get ready for this matchup with a look at who we project to come out on top in Thursday's game.

The Islanders are 4-6-0 in the past 10 contests, totaling 29 total goals (two power-play goals on 19 power-play opportunities during that time, for a conversion rate of 10.5%). They have given up 33 goals to their opponents.

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final tally of Maple Leafs 4, Islanders 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-114)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Islanders (+1.5)

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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (23-13-2 overall) have a 3-2-5 record in contests that have gone to overtime.
  • In the nine games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 6-1-2 record (good for 14 points).
  • In the five games this season the Maple Leafs registered only one goal, they finished 0-4-1.
  • Toronto finished 1-6-0 in the seven games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering two points).
  • The Maple Leafs are 22-1-1 in the 24 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 45 points).
  • In the 14 games when Toronto has capitalized on a single power-play goal, it went 9-4-1 to register 19 points.
  • In games when it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 10-5-0 (20 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 22 games, going 13-7-2 to record 28 points.

Islanders Splits and Trends

  • The Islanders have posted a record of 3-7-10 in overtime games on their way to an overall mark of 14-17-7.
  • In the 14 games New York has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
  • This season the Islanders scored only one goal in seven games and they've earned two points (0-5-2) in those contests.
  • New York failed to win all five games this season when it scored two goals.
  • The Islanders have earned 32 points in their 21 games with more than two goals scored.
  • This season, New York has capitalized on a single power-play goal in nine games and picked up 15 points with a record of 7-1-1.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, New York has posted a record of 7-10-2 (16 points).
  • The Islanders have been outshot by opponents in 17 games, going 7-5-5 to record 19 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Maple Leafs Rank Maple Leafs AVG Islanders AVG Islanders Rank
13th 3.11 Goals Scored 2.63 26th
8th 2.79 Goals Allowed 3.18 22nd
14th 28.6 Shots 28.6 14th
21st 29.2 Shots Allowed 28.6 16th
18th 20.54% Power Play % 11.34% 32nd
12th 81.51% Penalty Kill % 63.86% 32nd

Maple Leafs vs. Islanders Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, January 2, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: UBS Arena in Elmont, New York

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